County: Fairfax
ZIP Codes: 22044, 22041
Lake Barcroft, Virginia, although located approximately 150 miles inland from the Atlantic coast, is not exempt from the impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms, particularly rainfall-induced flooding and high wind damage. The community is centered around a large human-made lake, which, coupled with its relatively low elevation, raises the concern of significant flooding. Historical flood risk is high, especially with the potential for dam failure and subsequent major flooding. The town has experienced several significant flood events due to hurricanes and tropical storms, notably during Hurricane Isabel in 2003 and Hurricane Fran in 1996, which caused extensive property damage and power outages.
The potential hurricane impacts for Lake Barcroft extend beyond just flooding. High winds associated with such storm systems can cause widespread wind damage, including downed trees and power lines, structural damage to homes and buildings, and the potential for loss of life. The proximity of many structures to the lake and the prevalence of large, mature trees in the area heighten the risk of wind damage. As the frequency of hurricanes and the intensity of rainfall events have risen in recent years, residents should remain prepared for possible evacuations, property damage, and flooding in low-lying areas. The history and geographical characteristics of the area have proven Lake Barcroft to be particularly susceptible to the impacts of extreme weather events.